FACT: Fine-grained Across-variable Convolution for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Huiqiang Wang, Jieming Shi, Qing Li

International Conference on Learning Representations 2026 (ICLR 2026) Conference

Modeling the relationships among variables has become increasingly important, particularly in high-dimensional multivariate time series forecasting tasks. However, most existing methods primarily focus on capturing coarse-grained correlations between variables, overlooking a finer and more dynamic aspect: the variable interactions often manifest differently as time progresses. To address this limitation, we propose FACT, an Fine-grained Across-variable Convolution architecture for multivariate Time series forecasting that explicitly models fine-grained variable interactions from both the time and frequency domains. Technically, we introduce a depth-wise convolution block DConvBlock, which leverages a depth-wise convolution architecture with channel-specific kernels to model dynamic variable interactions at each granularity. To further enhance efficiency, we reconfigure the original one-dimensional variables into a two-dimensional space, reducing the variable distance and the required model layers. Then DConvBlock incorporates multi-dilated 2D convolutions with progressively increasing dilation rates, enabling the model to capture fine-grained and dynamic variable interactions while efficiently attaining a global reception field. Extensive experiments on twelve benchmark datasets demonstrate that FACT not only achieves state-of-the-art forecasting accuracy but also delivers substantial efficiency gains, significantly reducing both training time and memory consumption compared to attention mechanism.