Debiased Front-Door Learners for Heterogeneous Effects

Yonghan Jung

International Conference on Learning Representations 2026 (ICLR 2026) Conference

In observational settings where treatment and outcome are confounded by unobserved factors but an observed mediator satisfies front-door conditions, estimating heterogeneous treatment effects remains underdeveloped. We introduce two debiased learners for heterogeneous front-door effects: FD-DR-Learner and FD-R-Learner. Both methods are constructed to be robust to nuisance estimation error, and we show they achieve fast quasi-oracle rates even when nuisance functions converge as slowly as $n^{-1/4}$. We provide error analyses that clarify their behavior under overlap and nuisance misspecification. In synthetic experiments varying sample size, nuisance noise, and overlap severity, both learners consistently outperform a plug-in baseline, with FD-R showing stronger stability under weak overlap. In a real-world case study using FARS data on primary seat-belt laws, the methods deliver reliable personalized effect estimates and interpretable heterogeneity patterns. Overall, the proposed learners offer practical and sample-efficient tools for heterogeneous causal estimation under front-door identification.